Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 47.76% (  -0.03) | 28.55% (  0.06) | 23.69% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 41.05% (  -0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 35.94% (  -0.19) | 64.06% (  0.19) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.77% (  -0.14) | 83.23% (  0.14) | 
| Leganes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.89% (  -0.11) | 27.1% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% (  -0.14) | 62.49% (  0.13) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.31% (  -0.15) | 43.69% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% (  -0.12) | 79.86% (  0.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 1-0 @ 15.45% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 10.09% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.8% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 3.46% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 9.81% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% (  -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.69% |