Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Leganes |
66.94% (![]() | 18.79% (![]() | 14.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.02% (![]() | 38.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% (![]() | 61.3% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% (![]() | 10.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.24% (![]() | 34.76% (![]() |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.31% (![]() | 39.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.63% (![]() | 76.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Leganes |
2-0 @ 10.61% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.94% | 1-1 @ 8.8% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.79% | 1-2 @ 4.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 14.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |