La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Real Valladolid
Rayo have been stronger on their travels this season, but it is incredibly difficult to back them dropping points here considering the form of the two sides, and we are fully expecting the capital outfit to claim all three points in a comfortable fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Valladolid |
51.08% ( -0.1) | 24.98% ( 0) | 23.94% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
