La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 7, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Valladolid

Garcia (71')
Ciss (14'), de Frutos (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maranhao (30'), Aznou Ben Cheikh (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Valladolid
51.08% ( -0.1)	24.98% ( 0)	23.94% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

0.09)

51.52% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

0.08)

73.32% (

-0.07)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0.01)

20.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-0.01)

52.46% (

0.02)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

0.14)

36.35% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

0.15)

73.13% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 51.07%

Real Valladolid 23.94%

Draw 24.97%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.07%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.94%