La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes0 - 1Rayo Vallecano
We said: Leganes 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Both of these sides are in good form, and it is shaping up to be a fascinating match on Friday night; these are the type of games that Rayo must win in order to be viewed as European contenders, but we are expecting Leganes to be good enough to avoid a defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
25.5% ( -0.22) | 27.41% ( -0.04) | 47.09% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
