Real Sociedad3 - 1Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
for
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga
for
We said: Real Sociedad 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo may have already won at the Reale Arena this season, but this time around, they will face a Real Sociedad side that have won five of their last six matches, and we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to dispatch their fellow La Liga side in Thursday's cup fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
47.08% ( 0.18) | 26.72% ( 0.28) | 26.2% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
