Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.