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Livingston logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
St Johnstone logo

Livingston
0 - 1
St Johnstone


McGowan (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carey (73')
Duke-McKenna (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Livingston and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Raith Rovers
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 2-1 St Johnstone

This is the furthest St Johnstone have gone in the Scottish Cup since lifting the trophy for a second time in 2021, but their journey is set to stop in Livingston. Livi are unbeaten in 11 games, including six on their plastic pitch, and they can edge through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 12.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawSt Johnstone
66.96% (-0.214 -0.21) 20.17% (0.099 0.1) 12.87% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 45.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (-0.157 -0.16)48.34% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-0.143 -0.14)70.48% (0.142 0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)13.51% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.44% (-0.224 -0.22)40.56% (0.224 0.22)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (0.086999999999996 0.09)47.68% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (0.064 0.06)83% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 66.94%
    St Johnstone 12.87%
    Draw 20.18%
LivingstonDrawSt Johnstone
2-0 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.61% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 66.94%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 12.87%

How you voted: Livingston vs St Johnstone

Livingston
71.4%
Draw
8.6%
St Johnstone
20.0%
35
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Livingston
2-1
St Johnstone
Montano (72'), Shinnie (90+5')
Brandon (84'), Nouble (90+1')
Sidibeh (8')
May (45')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
St Johnstone
1-1
Livingston
Clark (87')
Robinson (31'), Sprangler (40')
Shinnie (37')
Montano (68'), Guthrie (90+7')
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Livingston
0-0
St Johnstone
Pittman (49'), Devlin (64')
Kucheriavyi (39'), Carey (90+1')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
St Johnstone
1-1
Livingston
Costelloe (36')
Sprangler (2'), May (90+2')
Gordon (83')
Kelly (57' pen.)
MacKay (48'), Holt (80')
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
St Johnstone
2-0
Livingston
Wright (17'), Kane (68' pen.)

Penrice (40'), de Lucas (66'), Kelly (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal331812361273466
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
4Manchester CityMan City33177964422258
5Chelsea33169858401857
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
7Aston Villa3316985347657
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace331111114145-444
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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