MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 20:15:22| >> :600:202700:202700:
St Johnstone logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hamilton logo

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Hamilton

Sidibeh (87')
Watt (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

MacDonald (44'), Hendrie (55'), Longridge (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between St Johnstone and Hamilton Academical, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: St Johnstone 2-0 Hamilton Academical

The hosts will be boosted by their recent upturn in form, while the visitors are sure to be low on confidence given their run of three losses, and we believe St Johnstone will win again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHamilton Academical
46.26% (0.319 0.32) 23.83% (-0.096 -0.1) 29.92% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 59.63% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.331 0.33)42.24% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.331 0.33)64.65% (-0.327 -0.33)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.259 0.26)18.48% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.436 0.44)49.68% (-0.434 -0.43)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.022000000000006 0.02)26.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.026000000000003 0.03)62.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 46.26%
    Hamilton Academical 29.92%
    Draw 23.82%
St JohnstoneDrawHamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hamilton

St Johnstone
100%
Draw
0.0%
Hamilton Academical
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 30
Hamilton
1-1
St Johnstone
Callachan (36')
Anderson (69'), Callachan (90+1')
Melamed (87')
McCart (69'), Wotherspoon (75'), Craig (76')
Dec 30, 2020 3pm
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Hamilton
3-5
St Johnstone
Hughes (40', 79'), Ogboe (44')
Odofin (37')
May (2', 33'), Wotherspoon (14'), Conway (69', 82')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hamilton
0-1
St Johnstone

Easton (83')
McCann (80')
Davidson (59'), Hendry (81')
rhs 2.0
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