Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 26.05% ( | 24.82% ( | 49.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( | 49.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( | 71.22% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( | 33.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( | 20.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( | 52.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 3-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.05% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.11% |