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Scottish Premiership

Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Johnstone logo

Hearts
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Penrice (16'), Spittal (58')
Devlin (42'), Vargas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carey (53' pen.)
Sprangler (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Petrocub
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 St Mirren
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
58.56% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)22.4% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)19.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.168 0.17)46.5% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.157 0.16)68.78% (-0.154 -0.15)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05)15.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.5% (0.091000000000001 0.09)44.49% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (0.153 0.15)38.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.146 0.15)75.13% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 58.55%
    St Johnstone 19.04%
    Draw 22.39%
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.55%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.04%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Johnstone

Hearts
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
St Johnstone
33.3%
30
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
1-2
Hearts
Clark (68' pen.)
Sprangler (44'), Holt (61')
Clark (23' og.), Vargas (77')
Oyegoke (41'), Rowles (45+1'), Shankland (52'), Devlin (67')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
St Johnstone
0-1
Hearts

Robinson (16'), Considine (52'), McGowan (75'), Jaiyesimi (90+6')
Shankland (54')
Vargas (79')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
1-0
St Johnstone
Shankland (61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-2
Hearts

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')
Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Hearts
3-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
> Preview