Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
2 - 3
St Mirren

Kirk (52'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (81')
Holt (77'), Sanders (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Phillips (10'), Mooney (88'), Idowu (90+9' pen.)
Kiltie (60'), Olusanya (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Motherwell
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	St Mirren
32.35% ( 0.06)	26.55% ( -0.01)	41.11% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

0.08)

53.08% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

0.06)

74.66% (

-0.06)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

0.07)

30.64% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

0.09)

66.89% (

-0.09)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

0.01)

25.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

0.02)

60.28% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 32.35%

St Mirren 41.11%

Draw 26.55%

St Johnstone	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.35%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.11%