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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Johnstone logo

St Mirren
3 - 1
St Johnstone

Tanser (30'), O'Hara (57'), Ayunga (90+3')
Bwomono (23'), Balcombe (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 St Mirren
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
44.84% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.09%30.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.32%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 44.84%
    St Johnstone 30.07%
    Draw 25.09%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: St Mirren vs St Johnstone

St Mirren
30.8%
Draw
11.5%
St Johnstone
57.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Mirren
2-0
St Johnstone
Mitov (36' og.), Mandron (64')
Baccus (89')

Sidibeh (77'), Phillips (79')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
St Johnstone
1-0
St Mirren
Kane (90+5')
Sprangler (89'), Kane (90+6')

Olusanya (83')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
St Mirren
4-0
St Johnstone
Baccus (36'), Mandron (48', 70'), Kiltie (90')
O'Hara (32'), Baccus (75')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
1-1
St Mirren
Rudden (75')
Gogic (86')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-2
St Johnstone
Kiltie (42'), O'Hara (81')
Carey (33' pen.), Clark (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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