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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
St Mirren

Miller (19' pen., 44')
O'Donnell (45+5'), Halliday (48'), Balmer (51'), Watt (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Phillips (9')
Fraser (17'), Olusanya (36'), Tanser (43')
Tanser (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Dundee Utd
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
49.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.39%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.11% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.012 -0.01)33.4% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)70.03% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 49.13%
    St Mirren 26%
    Draw 24.86%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.13%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Mirren

Motherwell
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
1-1
St Mirren
Bair (74')
Vale (54')
Fraser (18')
Olusanya (39')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
0-0
Motherwell
Baccus (73')
Spittal (40')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Second Round
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Strain (24')