Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 1
Hearts

Taylor (8' og., 8' og.), Olusanya (34', 34')
Olusanya (13'), Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Halkett (18', 18')
Kingsley (33'), Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
40.04% ( -0.1)	25.53% ( 0.04)	34.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.67% (

-0.16)

48.33% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

-0.15)

70.47% (

0.15)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.12)

23.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

-0.18)

58.06% (

0.17)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.04)

26.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0.06)

62.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 40.04%

Hearts 34.43%

Draw 25.52%

St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.43%