Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 33.49% ( | 25.54% ( | 40.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( | 70.67% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( | 63.22% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% | 23.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( | 57.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.97% |