Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 41.79% ( | 26.61% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( | 53.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( | 75.05% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( | 25.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( | 60.08% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( | 67.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.6% |