

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 52.12% ( | 24.87% ( | 23.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( | 51.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( | 73.65% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( | 19.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.98% ( | 52.02% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.8% ( | 74.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 8 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | Hearts | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 18 |
| 10 | Ross County | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Livingston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 11 |
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