Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone - Scottish Premiership - November 25, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Shankland (61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hearts 2-0 St Johnstone

St Johnstone have struggled so far this season, and competing away from home is going to make them the underdogs this weekend. The hosts have been performing well throughout this campaign, and they will be expected to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
49.35% ( 0.55)	24.38% ( 0.03)	26.28% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 55% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

-0.59)

47.09% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

-0.55)

69.33% (

0.55)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.01)

19.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

-0.01)

50.77% (

0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

-0.77)

31.98% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-0.89)

68.44% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.34%

St Johnstone 26.28%

Draw 24.37%

Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.34%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Johnstone

Hearts

100%

Draw

0.0%

St Johnstone

0.0%

Head to Head

Aug 5, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 1

0-2

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')

Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')

Mar 4, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 28

3-0

Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')

Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 19

2-3

May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')

Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')

Aug 28, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 5

3-2

Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)

Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')

Feb 19, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 27

2-1

Crawford (1'), McCart (56')
Hendry (36'), Butterfield (90+4')

Atkinson (6')