Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Groningen has a probability of 28.09% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Groningen win is 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).