MX23RW : Monday, May 19 07:28:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
Ajax

Groningen
2 - 2
Ajax

van Bergen (52'), Blokzijl (90+9')
Bacuna (55'), Ekdal (81'), Vaessen (90+9')
Valente (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gaaei (27'), Weghorst (68')
Henderson (72'), Gaaei (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 1-2 Ajax

Ajax have made hard work of the title race in recent weeks, and there is bound to be some nerves in the camp heading into this fixture, but with six straight wins against Groningen and a clear need to respond, we feel they will do just enough to secure a crucial victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
GroningenDrawAjax
32.38% (-1.501 -1.5) 24.57% (0.224 0.22) 43.05% (1.282 1.28)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-1.307 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-1.487 -1.49)44.55% (1.491 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-1.456 -1.46)66.92% (1.459 1.46)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-1.612 -1.61)26.42% (1.617 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-2.195 -2.2)61.58% (2.199 2.2)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)20.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.44% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 32.38%
    Ajax 43.05%
    Draw 24.57%
GroningenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.346 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.534 0.53)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.211 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.05%

How you voted: Groningen vs Ajax

Groningen
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
Klaassen (21'), Weghorst (90+1'), Akpom (90+4')
Sutalo (65'), Baas (73'), Godts (83')
Schreuders (69')
Resink (42'), Blokzijl (71')
May 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Groningen
2-3
Ajax
Kruger (39'), Duarte (87')
Pepi (9'), Bech Sorensen (72'), Musampa (90+2')
Tadic (19' pen.), Brobbey (68'), Maduro (81')
Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
Ajax
6-1
Groningen
Bergwijn (4', 45', 57'), Antony (28'), Taylor (66'), Berghuis (88' pen.)
Tadic (30')
Ngonge (10')
Apr 2, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 25
Groningen
1-3
Ajax
Klaassen (45+1'), Tadic (45+6' pen.), Berghuis (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
3-0
Groningen
Alvarez (40'), Antony (56'), Mazraoui (81')

Suslov (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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