

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen | 
| 80.44% | 12.53% | 7.02% | 
| Both teams to score 49.64% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.69% | 30.31% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.42% | 51.58% | 
| Ajax Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.22% | 5.78% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.73% | 22.27% | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.68% | 47.32% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.28% | 82.72% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen | 
| 2-0 @ 11.12% 3-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.91% 1-0 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 7.53% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 4.29% 5-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 2.04% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.21% Total : 80.43% | 1-1 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 3.11% 0-0 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 12.53% | 1-2 @ 2.19% 0-1 @ 2.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 7.02% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 79 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 36 | 48 | 71 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 82 | 34 | 48 | 66 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 64 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 37 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 35 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
