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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
58.85% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() | 18.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% (![]() | 50.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% (![]() | 72.79% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83% (![]() | 16.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% (![]() | 47.11% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.88% (![]() | 42.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.46% (![]() | 78.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.68% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
15 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |