Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.