MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 02:41:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Motherwell logo

Hearts
vs.
Motherwell

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-3 Hearts
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Hearts 2-1 Motherwell

Motherwell may be in greater form than their hosts, but the Jambos have defeated the Steelmen in five of the last six meetings at Tynecastle Park, leading us to expect a home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw has a probability of 20.6% and a win for Motherwell has a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Motherwell win it is 0-1 (4.74%).

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
62.9% (0.209 0.21) 20.56% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 16.54% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.2% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)64.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.084000000000003 0.08)12.91% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67% (0.174 0.17)39.33% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.121 -0.12)38.91% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.116 -0.12)75.64% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 62.89%
    Motherwell 16.54%
    Draw 20.56%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 62.89%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.56%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 16.54%

Who will win Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell?

Hearts
Draw
Motherwell
Hearts
92.3%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 33
Motherwell
0-0
Hearts
Kartum (23'), Forrester (35'), Baningime (66')
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 21
Hearts
1-0
Motherwell
Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')

Casey (65')
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
3-1
Hearts
McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')
Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Shankland (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Shankland (23')

Kettlewell (24'), Zdravkovski (69'), Nicholson (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Motherwell
1-2
Hearts
Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic2110103238085
2RangersRangers202071383368
3Hibernian210157431456
4Aberdeen21014650-453
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd20024248-650
6St Mirren21104856-845
Relegation Group
1Motherwell22004259-1745
2Hearts21014646043
3Kilmarnock22004258-1641
4Dundee21015273-2137
5Ross County20023461-2735
6St Johnstone20023563-2829
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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