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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
2 - 2
St Mirren

Slattery (35', 35', 71')
Gordon (61'), Gordon (61'), Halliday (90+6'), Casey (90+10')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Boyd-Munce (23', 23'), Phillips (33', 33')
Fraser (32'), Fraser (32'), Olusanya (61'), Olusanya (61'), Iacovitti (62'), Smyth (80')
Olusanya (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-5 Celtic
Saturday, March 1 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
38.08% (0.216 0.22)25.8% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)36.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.91% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (0.25 0.25)49.3% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (0.223 0.22)71.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.232 0.23)25.34% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.32100000000001 0.32)60.13% (-0.326 -0.33)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 38.08%
    St Mirren 36.12%
    Draw 25.79%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.08%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 36.12%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Mirren

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Taylor (34'), Gogic (42'), Kiltie (58'), Olusanya (62')
Gogic (90+3')
Watt (90+4')
Blaney (32'), Kettlewell (33'), Seddon (69'), Stamatelopoulos (77')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Miller (19' pen., 44')
O'Donnell (45+5'), Halliday (48'), Balmer (51'), Watt (90+4')
Casey (47')
Phillips (9')
Fraser (17'), Olusanya (36'), Tanser (43')
Tanser (61')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
1-1
St Mirren
Bair (74')
Vale (54')
Fraser (18')
Olusanya (39')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
0-0
Motherwell
Baccus (73')
Spittal (40')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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