Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 40.37% ( | 26.92% ( | 32.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( | 75.84% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( | 26.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( | 61.67% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( | 31.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( | 67.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.7% |