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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Dundee United

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Dundee Utd

Kirk (44')
Sanders (80'), Sidibeh (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Middleton (51'), Dalby (60')
Docherty (81')
Gallagher (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 St Johnstone
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-0 Celtic
Sunday, December 22 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawDundee United
26.7% (-0.301 -0.3)25.23% (-0.149 -0.15)48.08% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (0.408 0.41)50.36% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (0.361 0.36)72.3% (-0.354 -0.35)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)33.38% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.029 -0.03)70% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.367 0.37)20.97% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.565 0.56)53.72% (-0.559 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 26.7%
    Dundee United 48.07%
    Draw 25.22%
St JohnstoneDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.7%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.07%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd

St Johnstone
25.0%
Draw
15.0%
Dundee United
60.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dundee Utd
2-0
St Johnstone
Stephenson (54'), Sanders (88' og.)
Ferry (25'), Goodwin (26'), Stephenson (41')

Sidibeh (40'), Sanders (66'), Raymond (71')
Sidibeh (84')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dundee Utd
1-2
St Johnstone
Levitt (81')
May (31', 82')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dundee Utd
1-2
St Johnstone
Watt (82')
May (15'), Hallberg (39')