Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
| 26.7% ( | 25.23% ( | 48.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( | 50.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( | 72.3% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( | 70% ( |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( | 20.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( | 53.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.7% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.07% |