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Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 19, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Shankland (28')
Devlin (77'), Drammeh (120+5')
Steinwender (44'), Devlin (116')
FT
(aet)
Gordon (18' og.), Dabbagh (118')
Jensen (78'), Dorrington (90+3'), Knoester (115')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 13 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Hearts 1-2 Aberdeen

These two sides have been extremely evenly matched in recent meetings, but given Hearts' disappointment of failing to finish in the top six and Aberdeen's upturn in form at the end of the campaign, we believe the Dons will secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%).

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
51.27% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 23.56% (-0.144 -0.14) 25.17% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.732 0.73)44.43% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.704 0.7)66.8% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (0.283 0.28)17.37% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.22% (0.49400000000001 0.49)47.78% (-0.498 -0.5)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.485 0.48)31.45% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.557 0.56)67.83% (-0.55900000000001 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.27%
    Aberdeen 25.17%
    Draw 23.56%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
55.9%
Draw
2.9%
Aberdeen
41.2%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 23
Aberdeen
0-0
Hearts
Clarkson (35'), Lopes (74')
Penrice (65')
Dec 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Devlin (62' og.)
Halkett (42')
Clarkson (37')
Molloy (45'), McGarry (45+6'), Heltne Nilsen (52'), Shinnie (72'), Lopes (86')
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Aberdeen
3-2
Hearts
Keskinen (2'), Devlin (65'), Palaversa (88')
Palaversa (90+6')
Kent (36'), Spittal (63')
Shankland (30'), Dhanda (56'), Grant (75'), Forrester (76'), Penrice (83'), Gordon (86')
Grant (75')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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