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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hearts logo

Aberdeen
3 - 2
Hearts

Keskinen (2'), Devlin (65'), Palaversa (88')
Palaversa (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kent (36'), Spittal (63')
Shankland (30'), Dhanda (56'), Grant (75'), Forrester (76'), Penrice (83'), Gordon (86')
Grant (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-2 Hearts
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHearts
62.72% (-5.211 -5.21)20.69% (1.866 1.87)16.59% (3.346 3.35)
Both teams to score 52.84% (2.115 2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-1.465 -1.47)43.04% (1.466 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-1.466 -1.47)65.44% (1.466 1.47)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (-1.883 -1.88)13.12% (1.884 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (-3.968 -3.97)39.77% (3.97 3.97)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.82% (3.673 3.67)39.17% (-3.67 -3.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.11% (3.275 3.28)75.88% (-3.274 -3.27)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 62.71%
    Hearts 16.59%
    Draw 20.69%
AberdeenDrawHearts
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.9 -0.9)
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 7.18% (-1.205 -1.21)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.379 -0.38)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.936 -0.94)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.467 -0.47)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.523 -0.52)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.31 -0.31)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 62.71%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.863 0.86)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.523 0.52)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.736 0.74)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.804 0.8)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.528 0.53)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.287 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.364 0.36)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.59%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hearts

Aberdeen
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Hearts
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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