Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen - Scottish Premiership - September 16, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 0

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Motherwell
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 Hibernian
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory in this match, as both sides are better than what they have shown already this season. We are finding it difficult to back Aberdeen due to their away struggles against Hearts, though, and have instead settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
39.87% ( 0.14)	25.21% ( 0.02)	34.91% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.78% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

-0.14)

46.83% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

-0.13)

69.08% (

0.13)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71% (

0.01)

23.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77% (

0.01)

57.22% (

-0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01% (

-0.16)

25.98% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99% (

-0.21)

61% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Hearts 39.87%

Aberdeen 34.91%

Draw 25.21%

Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts

83.3%

Draw

16.7%

Aberdeen

0.0%

Head to Head

May 20, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 36

2-1

Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')

Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')

Mar 18, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 29

3-0

Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')

Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 22

5-0

Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')

Oct 16, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 11

2-0

Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')

Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 29

2-0

Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')