Aberdeen 1-3 Celtic - Scottish Premiership - August 13, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

1 - 3

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Miovski (25')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Abada (11'), Furuhashi (29'), O'Riley (84')
Turnbull (27'), McGregor (54')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 4-2 Ross County
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen will look to put in dogged display and rediscover their scoring form against a somewhat leaky Celtic backline on Saturday as they attempt to claim a positive result in their opening home fixture. However, it is difficult to look beyond a Celtic win here and we can see Rodgers's rampant side outscoring their opponents to maintain their winning start to the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Celtic
21.45% ( 0.37)	23.05% ( 0.02)	55.51% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

0.39)

46.1% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

0.37)

68.4% (

-0.37)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.34% (

0.58)

35.66% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

0.6)

72.44% (

-0.6)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

16.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

46.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 21.45%

Celtic 55.51%

Draw 23.04%

Aberdeen	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.45%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.51%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Celtic

Aberdeen

21.6%

Draw

5.4%

Celtic

73.0%

Head to Head

May 27, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 38

5-0

Furuhashi (27', 32'), Starfelt (78'), Oh (82', 90')
Starfelt (42')

Watkins (37'), Shinnie (61')

Feb 18, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 26

4-0

McGregor (2'), Hatate (13', 76'), Abada (89')

Dec 17, 2022 12.30pm

Gameweek 17

0-1

McGregor (87')

Jul 31, 2022 4.30pm

Gameweek 1

2-0

Welsh (3'), Jota (75')
Taylor (81')

Kennedy (42'), Richardson (58')

Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 26

2-3

Ramirez (56'), Ferguson (61')
Bates (49'), Gallagher (64')

Jota (16', 62'), O'Riley (20')
Jota (61')