Porto 1-0 Portimonense - Primeira Liga - October 8, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

1 - 0

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')
Carmo (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 2-3 Portimonense
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Porto 2-0 Portimonense

Still licking their wounds from Wednesday's Champions League defeat, Porto will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride, Porto's record in this fixture makes them firm favourites to come away with all three points and we fancy them extending their dominance over the Alvinegros. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Portimonense
73.72% ( 1.08)	16.41% ( -0.46)	9.86% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.4% (

0.27)

39.59% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.05% (

0.28)

61.94% (

-0.28)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.73% (

0.33)

9.26% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.69% (

0.77)

31.3% (

-0.77)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.53% (

-1.04)

47.46% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.16% (

-0.79)

82.83% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Porto 73.72%

Portimonense 9.86%

Draw 16.41%

Porto	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.72%	1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 16.41%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.86%

How you voted: Porto vs Portimonense

Porto

92.9%

Draw

7.1%

Portimonense

0.0%

Head to Head

Apr 2, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 26

1-0

Cardoso (30')

Oct 8, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 9

0-2

Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')

Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm

Gameweek 30

7-0

Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')

Dec 3, 2021 7pm

Gameweek 13

0-3

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')

Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')

Mar 20, 2021 6pm

Gameweek 24

1-2

Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')

Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')