

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense | 
| 54.84% (  -0.52) | 25.51% (  -0.29) | 19.65% (  0.81) | 
| Both teams to score 44.02% (  1.88) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.3% (  1.84) | 57.7% (  -1.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.55% (  1.43) | 78.45% (  -1.43) | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.9% (  0.54) | 21.1% (  -0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.07% (  0.83) | 53.93% (  -0.82) | 
| Portimonense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.8% (  2.01) | 44.21% (  -2.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.71% (  1.6) | 80.29% (  -1.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense | 
| 1-0 @ 14.51% (  -0.79) 2-0 @ 11.29% (  -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.22% (  0.17) 3-0 @ 5.86% (  -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.78% (  0.17) 4-0 @ 2.28% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% (  0.17) 4-1 @ 1.86% (  0.09) Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.84% | 1-1 @ 11.84% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 9.33% (  -0.67) 2-2 @ 3.76% (  0.27) Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.61% (  -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.84% (  0.28) 0-2 @ 3.11% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 1.32% (  0.14) 2-3 @ 1.02% (  0.13) Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.65% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
