| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Boavista | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 37.71% ( | 30.07% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.76% ( | 84.24% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( | 33.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.85% ( | 70.14% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( | 37.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.93% ( | 74.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 13.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 2-2 @ 3.64% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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