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Wycombe Wanderers
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK at Adams Park
Wycombe
3 - 2
Derby
Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')
Hanlan (37'), Obita (85'), Stryjek (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')
Forsyth (70'), Collins (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

Although Wycombe have won four of their last five home games, we think they will be beaten by a Derby side in red-hot form after recording six consecutive victories in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.75% (-0.119 -0.12) 26.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 48.12% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.53% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.88% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.121 -0.12)36.41% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (-0.121 -0.12)73.2% (0.119 0.12)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.042999999999992 0.04)22.68% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.064 0.06)56.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%
    Derby County 48.12%
    Draw 26.11%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.12%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby

Wycombe Wanderers
21.4%
Draw
3.6%
Derby County
75.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Wycombe
1-2
Derby
Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
1am
Hurkacz
Popyrin
2am
McDonald
Rune
4.30am
Alcaraz
Kokkinakis
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds34238361223977
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36228663412274
3Ipswich TownIpswich362012470313972
4Barnsley34206855292666
5Derby CountyDerby361810859352464
6Bolton WanderersBolton371891051302163
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe351761248341457
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury36167134739855
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough351731555451054
10Portsmouth351312104641551
11Exeter CityExeter351210134745246
12Lincoln CityLincoln3591883335-245
13Bristol Rovers35129145056-645
14Port Vale36128163650-1444
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood361013133738-143
16Charlton AthleticCharlton351012134647-142
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham36117182946-1740
18Burton Albion34108164263-2138
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3699183848-1036
20Accrington StanleyAccrington34811152952-2335
21Morecambe36712173557-2233
22MK Dons3696213254-2233
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3686222757-3030
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3658232869-4123

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