Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 38.03% ( | 26.7% ( | 35.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( | 53.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( | 74.77% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( | 27.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.4% ( | 62.6% ( |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( | 28.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.3% ( | 64.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 69 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 63 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 61 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 52 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 51 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 34 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 37 |
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 34 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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