Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 29.2% ( | 24.95% ( | 45.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( | 69.85% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( | 30.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.79% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.5% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
| 19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
| 24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
