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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
65.02% (![]() | 20.24% (![]() | 14.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% (![]() | 44.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% (![]() | 67.02% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% (![]() | 12.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.58% (![]() | 39.42% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% (![]() | 42.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% (![]() | 78.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 11.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.27% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 65.01% | 1-1 @ 9.62% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.71% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 71 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 61 |
6 | Barnsley | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 60 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
10 | Portsmouth | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 44 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 36 |
19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 34 |
21 | Morecambe | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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