Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 53.79% ( | 23.57% ( | 22.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( | 46.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( | 69.23% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( | 17.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.19% ( | 47.8% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( | 35.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.22% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 80 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 78 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 75 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 64 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 64 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 61 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 46 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 45 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 45 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 42 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 40 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 40 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 68 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 33 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 26 |
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