

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 33.73% ( | 27.37% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( | 77.1% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( | 31.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.46% ( | 67.54% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( | 28.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.32% ( | 63.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 42 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 99 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 69 | 41 | 28 | 84 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 82 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 81 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
| 7 | Reading | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 72 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 66 |
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 67 | 56 | 11 | 63 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 51 | 11 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 58 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 55 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 55 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 53 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 53 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 50 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 19 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 43 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 43 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 52 | 82 | -30 | 40 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 38 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 76 | -38 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
