

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 30.05% ( | 26.75% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( | 75.97% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( | 25.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.24% ( | 59.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 6 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Exeter CityExeter | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 21 | Burton Albion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 22 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 23 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
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