Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
62.99% (![]() | 20.87% (![]() | 16.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.35% (![]() | 44.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% (![]() | 67.01% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% (![]() | 13.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% (![]() | 40.63% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.29% (![]() | 40.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.7% (![]() | 77.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 11.02% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.01% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 4.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
> Full Version |