Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
41.71% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() | 32.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% (![]() | 47.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% (![]() | 70.01% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% (![]() | 22.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% (![]() | 56.53% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% (![]() | 27.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% (![]() | 63.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 9.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |