

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 41.71% ( | 25.34% ( | 32.95% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.99% ( | 70.01% ( | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.19% ( | 22.81% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.47% ( | 56.53% ( | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.35% ( | 27.65% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.8% ( | 63.2% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets | 
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.71%  | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%  | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.95%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
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