Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
45.26% (![]() | 23.46% (![]() | 31.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% (![]() | 39.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% (![]() | 62.16% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% (![]() | 17.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% (![]() | 48.72% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.21% (![]() | 24.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% (![]() | 59.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.26% | 1-1 @ 10.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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