Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 40.6% ( | 25.24% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( | 47.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( | 69.33% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( | 23.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.14% ( | 56.86% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( | 26.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.23% ( | 61.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 25 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 21 |
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