Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 21.51% ( | 23.02% ( | 55.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( | 45.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( | 16.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.95% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.51% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0-3 @ 5.73% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 55.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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