

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 25.02% ( | 22.14% ( | 52.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( | 38.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( | 14.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.45% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 7.61% ( 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0-4 @ 2.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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