

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 36.33% (  0.27) | 24.69% (  -0.05) | 38.98% (  -0.23) | 
| Both teams to score 58.85% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.77% (  0.24) | 44.23% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.39% (  0.23) | 66.6% (  -0.23) | 
| Newcastle Jets Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.03% (  0.26) | 23.97% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.79% (  0.37) | 58.21% (  -0.37) | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.41% (  -0.01) | 22.59% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.8% (  -0.01) | 56.2% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar | 
| 2-1 @ 8.22% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 7.74% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.52% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 3.91% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 2.63% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.4% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% (  0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.5% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 5.42% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.44% (  0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.56% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.06% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.99% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.24% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.03% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.97% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.11% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
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