Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 31.31% (  1.55) | 24.67% (  0.21) | 44.03% (  -1.76) | 
| Both teams to score 57.49% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.61% (  -0.23) | 45.4% (  0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.27% (  -0.22) | 67.73% (  0.22) | 
| Brisbane Roar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.49% (  0.91) | 27.51% (  -0.91) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.99% (  1.16) | 63.01% (  -1.16) | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.3% (  -0.86) | 20.7% (  0.86) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.69% (  -1.37) | 53.31% (  1.37) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 2-1 @ 7.47% (  0.25) 1-0 @ 7.35% (  0.26) 2-0 @ 4.74% (  0.28) 3-1 @ 3.21% (  0.19) 3-2 @ 2.53% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 2.04% (  0.17) 4-1 @ 1.04% (  0.09) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 5.7% (  0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% (  0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 9.12% (  -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.97% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.06% (  -0.31) 1-3 @ 4.79% (  -0.22) 0-3 @ 3.71% (  -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.09% (  -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.88% (  -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.46% (  -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.22% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.03% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | 
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 | 
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 | 
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 | 
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 | 
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | 
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 | 
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 | 
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 | 
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