Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 31.31% ( | 24.67% ( | 44.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.99% ( | 63.01% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.69% ( | 53.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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