

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 | 
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 | 
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 | 
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 | 
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 46.92% | 23.92% | 29.16% | 
| Both teams to score 58.83% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.92% | 43.08% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.52% | 65.48% | 
| Western United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.46% | 18.54% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.22% | 49.78% | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.22% | 27.78% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.64% | 63.36% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.16% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 23 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 
| 4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 5 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 6 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 
| 7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 | 
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
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