| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 62.24% ( | 20.94% ( | 16.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( | 43.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( | 66.12% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( | 13.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.5% ( | 40.5% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.99% ( | 76.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.22% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.94% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 52 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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